New Poll Projects Status of 2024 Candidates

Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

( – Many have speculated about which candidates would prevail in the 2024 presidential race. Voters are now also making their choice known through polls.

For Republican voters, the top two choices remain Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump. On the Democratic side, on the other hand, the enthusiasm from the crowd has been underwhelming, despite the support that Biden already had from voters. However, there are still Democratic voters who are hoping to see a different candidate on the ballot.

A recent Marquette University national poll showed that 64 percent of registered Republicans said that in a hypothetical match-up between the two men they would select DeSantis and not Trump. According to the same poll, DeSantis also appears to be winning in a hypothetical race against Biden, by 45 percent to 38 percent. If 2024 ends up being a matchup between Trump and Biden, then according to the poll the two men are tied at 40 percent.

Biden has received an increased level of support in the last year.

Similarly, in a December USA Today poll, Biden in a hypothetical matchup with Trump would win, but against DeSantis, he would not be as successful. The poll showed DeSantis winning with 47 percent while Biden was trailing behind with only 43 percent.

In New Hampshire, which is an important early stage in the presidential nomination process, DeSantis is so far leading with 42 percent of likely GOP voters selecting him over all other GOP candidates. Trump follows behind DeSantis with 30 percent, while former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley only has 8 percent.

The University of New Hampshire poll, conducted from Jan. 19-23, also shows that support for DeSantis has been steadily increasing since June 2022. Trump’s support on the other hand has been in decline since the summer.

While in some polls DeSantis does manage to come out on top, there are other polls where that is not the case. An NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist national poll from December clearly shows Trump leading among GOP candidates, with the former President having 45 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning independents supporting him in 2024.

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